Participant at Annual Meeting of the Norwegian Association of Economists

Stein T. Holden presented paper with the title "Bounded awareness and anomalies in intertemporal choice: Google Earth as metaphor and model" written together with John Quiggin at the 39th Annual Meeting of the Norwegian Association of Economists at Oslo Business School, 3. - 4. January.

Participant at Annual Meeting of the Norwegian Association of Economists

The paper is published as a School of Economics and Business Working Paper and can be downloaded here.

Abstract
This paper draws on recent developments in the theory of choice under uncertainty to model anomalies in intertemporal choice. Cognitive limitations leading to hyperbolic discounting and magnitude effects in intertemporal choice may be described in terms of bounded awareness, and represented by phenomena familiar from visualization software such as Google Earth. Cognitive limits on visualization impose constraints on both the area being viewed and the level of detail of the view, with a trade-off between the two. Increasing detail at the expense of limiting the area viewed may be described as zooming.

Data from a field experiment were used to assess the theory with an incentivecompatible multiple price list approach involving magnitude levels of 5x, 10x and 20x the basic magnitude level with time horizons of one, three, six and 12 months. Without zooming adjustments in base consumption, very strong hyperbolic and magnitude effects were found, and present bias could not explain the hyperbolic effects. The zooming model provides an explanation of what appear to be significant intertemporal anomalies in the data.

The Powerpoint presentation of the paper from the 39th Annual Meeting of the Norwegian Association of Economists can be obtained here.

Detailed program for the 39th Annual Meeting of the Norwegian Association of Economists can be obtained here.

Published 6. January 2017 - 14:31 - Updated 23. May 2017 - 19:10